Saeed DaiKarimzadeh; Sara Ghobadi; Nasim Foroudastan
Volume 8, Issue 23 , November 2013, , Pages 131-154
Abstract
Iran is one of the countries that so far from its potential in tourism is not used in an appropriate manner. One of the principles of tourism development is the tourism demand. This study examines factors influencing demand for international tourism in Iran. For this purpose, the number of incoming tourists ...
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Iran is one of the countries that so far from its potential in tourism is not used in an appropriate manner. One of the principles of tourism development is the tourism demand. This study examines factors influencing demand for international tourism in Iran. For this purpose, the number of incoming tourists to Iran has been used as dependent variable of international tourism demand. The effect of real income per capita of ten countries with the highest number of inbound tourists to Iran, Consumer price index for goods and services in Iran, market exchange rate, degree of economic openness and the dummy variable of Islamic revolution and war as the independent variable on the dependent variable is estimated. For this estimation Autoregressive Distributed Lag model (ARDL) is used. The results show real income per capita, market exchange rate and degree of economic openness variables have positive effect and consumer price index for goods and services in Iran and dummy variable (revolution and war) have negative effect on the number of inbound international tourism to Iran.
